Trajectory ML 01: From Observations to Hidden State
A shared framework for cell differentiation and character conversations, with a reproducible synthetic project and an honest distinction between geometry and time.
A shared framework for cell differentiation and character conversations, with a reproducible synthetic project and an honest distinction between geometry and time.
Derive PCA from reconstruction and variance, connect covariance eigenvectors to SVD, and evaluate compression on unseen sessions.
Train an autoencoder and a VAE, derive the meaning of the ELBO, and separate reconstruction quality from semantic state recovery.
Build a neighborhood graph, understand Isomap and UMAP, and learn why a two-dimensional map is neither a clock nor a faithful atlas of global distances.
Turn local neighbors into a reversible random walk, then use its slow modes to describe global geometry.
Compare geometric and graph partitions, then learn why a discovered cluster is a hypothesis about state.
Build a minimal tree baseline, understand principal curves and PAGA, and identify what pseudotime can and cannot measure.
Use observed sequence order to estimate transitions, infer hidden states, and separate filtering from smoothing.
Recovering hidden states and trajectories from observations, from PCA to Flow Matching, survival analysis and causality, with one synthetic dataset.